Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Consistency in Baseball or I Don't think that Word Means what you Think it Means

One thing that binds most baseball fans and commenters together is their belief that their favorite player/team/most hated player/secret gay crush/whatever just is not "consistent" enough. I will happily tell you, there just is no such thing as consistency in baseball.

Lets do some simple math to prove this shall we.

I think everybody can agree that a team with a .600 record in baseball is pretty damn good (if you cannot agree to this you need to do some more reading and/or stick to football)

Basic math tells us that a .600 record means a team wins 6 and loses 4 of every 10 games it plays. Now if your team were to consistently win 6 and lose 4 of 10 games that would look something like this:

W-L-W-L-W-W-L-W-L-W

If your team were consistent they would do exactly this 16 times over and over through the whole season. They would win 97 or 98 games, and their division like 98 out of 100 seasons.

You would go insane.

They would never win more than 2 in a row, they could never sweep a series, unless it was 2 games and fell on the right part of the pattern

They just wouldn't be CONSISTENT.

Or they would.

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