So the Jays failed to sign 3 of their top 4 picks in the 2009 draft. I don't know exactly what to make of this, I don't really think it's much of a disaster as they get 3 compensation picks in next years draft. While clearly this is screwed up, I hesitate to add colossal to that in any way. I'm not saying "you just don't understand JP's genius long term plan", or concluding that this is final proof positive that the Rogers higher-ups have decided to strip the team of all money. I think they screwed up in their first attempt at aggressively going after players that were a stretch, and in the big picture nobody really knows how this ends up playing out given they can pick these 3 same guys or better again next year.
This should and will probably be the subject of a longer post, but we are talking about the MLB Amateur Draft here. If you have any rational idea at all about the history of picking players, you know in your heart that there's a very good chance none of these 3 guys they didn't sign will even make it to the majors, ever, let alone make any kind of impact. Hell I wouldn't be surprised if at least one of them didn't even get picked next year.
I could line up the evidence for the pointlessness of draft analysis all day, but let's save that. Let it just be noted that Mike Piazza got picked as the very last pick of the Dodgers in the 1988 draft. 1390 overall. As a favor. And he played college ball. If this is not proof that the draft is a colossal crap shoot that we should all just ignore, I do not know what is.
Friday, August 21, 2009
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